The numbers are coming down very quickly, more quickly than the government/scientists etc had predicted. By vaccinating the first 15 million, that is supposed to cut covid related deaths by 90%. It also has a massive impact on reducing hospital admissions/, therefore easing the burden on the NHS.
Vaccinating the over 50s (vaccine supply dependent), should be achievable by end of March as it will be easier to vaccinate that age group due to mobility etc. That will pretty much clear nearly all the most at risk groups (potential covid related deaths and hospital admissions). Also, covid is seasonal and will be massively declining by the end of March/April.
The goalposts (must have infection rates in the 100s) appear to be continuing to change, something that I find quite concerning..... Once the over 50s are protected by vaccination, there is absolutely no need for lockdown measures to be in place at all. The government and scientists are very blinkered around covid and only looking at the short term. I worry that the longer term effect on other health conditions (mental and physical) will far outweigh Covid...
My prediction is outdoor sports such at shooting/golf etc will be back by mid/end of March.
rant over.